Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.778165 2.032711 2.312278 2.642354 3.021745 3.444562 3.952072
2025-08-24 1.410410 1.743076 2.138841 2.645359 3.277897 4.043695 5.044180
2025-08-31 1.141084 1.505391 1.968881 2.603932 3.454900 4.560706 6.114730
2025-09-07 1.006428 1.405754 1.944566 2.728546 3.846748 5.394284 7.715886
2025-09-14 0.885183 1.299887 1.889129 2.793225 4.156178 6.151318 9.324799
2025-09-21 0.770037 1.182076 1.795009 2.781029 4.343000 6.747688 10.780098
2025-09-28 0.656109 1.047750 1.654664 2.673258 4.360292 7.078282 11.859417
2025-10-05 0.611426 1.013845 1.662301 2.795719 4.755018 8.053108 14.129823
2025-10-12 0.575642 0.988557 1.678606 2.931443 5.185961 9.140907 16.754155
2025-10-19 0.531795 0.943203 1.654214 2.991295 5.488768 10.041391 19.171016
2025-10-26 0.492146 0.899705 1.626639 3.039701 5.773675 10.942012 21.717253
2025-11-02 0.439829 0.826558 1.536494 2.958995 5.801597 11.358125 23.365937
2025-11-09 0.384112 0.741684 1.416955 2.811067 5.687345 11.499229 24.514952
2025-11-16 0.350719 0.695847 1.366400 2.793035 5.832703 12.183981 26.931343
2025-11-23 0.317356 0.646050 1.302110 2.738383 5.893885 12.701519 29.065527
2025-11-30 0.305573 0.638722 1.322362 2.863811 6.359497 14.155295 33.581669
2025-12-07 0.289053 0.619415 1.315292 2.928690 6.699141 15.376683 37.754826
2025-12-14 0.267405 0.586485 1.275209 2.914251 6.854135 16.194102 41.072346
2025-12-21 0.240274 0.538340 1.196313 2.800294 6.757574 16.399340 42.863859
2025-12-28 0.233601 0.535633 1.218807 2.928378 7.267542 18.160895 49.059810
2026-01-04 0.228088 0.534931 1.245719 3.070574 7.833149 20.146635 56.224770
2026-01-11 0.217704 0.521472 1.240999 3.133257 8.202728 21.678181 62.388707
2026-01-18 0.207380 0.506975 1.232086 3.183989 8.547848 23.195615 68.789458